Financial21 Jul 2026

Jefferies Raises Oberoi Realty Target to ₹1,970 from ₹1,735, Retains 'Hold' Rating After Q1 FY27 Results

Jefferies Raises Target After Land Strategy Comes to Fruition

Jefferies retained its 'Hold' rating while increasing its target price to Rs 1,970 from Rs 1,735, citing the company's project acquisitions over the past three years now translating into new launches. The analyst note, released on the back of Oberoi Realty's first-quarter fiscal 2027 results, reflects a mixed but constructive view of the developer's trajectory.

Q1 FY27 Performance and Analyst Outlook

The Mumbai-based premium real estate developer reported revenue from operations of Rs 1,300.89 crore, representing 31.7% growth compared to Rs 987.55 crore in Q1FY26. Consolidated net profit stood at ₹54,351 lakh (₹543.51 crore), representing a year-on-year expansion of 29.0% compared to the ₹42,125 crore recorded in Q1 FY26. However, the company reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 543.51 crore for the quarter ended June 2026, down 22.71 per cent from Rs 703.28 crore in the March quarter, reflecting normal cyclicality in real estate revenue recognition.

Jefferies expects FY27 pre-sales to nearly double to around Rs 13,000 crore, supported by a strong response to the Gurugram project. The brokerage also highlighted Oberoi Realty's strong balance sheet, with gearing below 0.1 times.

The Gurugram Breakthrough

The launch of the company's first project in the National Capital Region (NCR) marked the beginning of a new growth phase after four decades of operations in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region. This expansion has proven pivotal: Oberoi Realty announced ₹8,109 crore in gross bookings for its newly launched 'Three Sixty North' project in Gurugram, marking a historical milestone for the Mumbai-based developer successfully penetrating the competitive National Capital Region (NCR) market with a high-velocity luxury residential launch.

HSBC said Q1 pre-sales were relatively subdued but expects the large Gurugram project launch in the September quarter to drive sales momentum. This trajectory aligns with Jefferies' view that land acquisitions have now matured into viable launch pipelines.

Analyst Consensus Despite Mixed Reviews

HSBC maintained its 'Buy' rating on the stock and raised its target price to Rs 2,310 from Rs 2,100, expecting an acceleration in new launches and sustained demand for premium residential projects. Nomura reiterated its 'Buy' rating with a target price of Rs 2,090.

Jefferies' cautious stance—a Hold rating despite the upward price revision—reflects the challenge of timing near-term volatility in the residential market. The residential, commercial, retail and hospitality businesses delivered steady performance during the quarter, reflecting the strength of Oberoi Realty's diversified portfolio.

A Development Story Three Years in the Making

The analyst note underscores the payoff from Oberoi Realty's land banking strategy. The developer has built a substantial acquisition footprint over the past three years, including the Gurugram foray announced in late 2023. In February 2026, Oberoi Realty emerged as the highest bidder for an 11-acre railway land parcel in Bandra East with a bid of ₹5,400 crore, positioning the developer in one of Mumbai's most strategically connected micro-markets for large-scale mixed-use development. These land buys have now entered the execution phase, with multiple launches anchoring FY27 and beyond.

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